Covering the Spread 43: Crystal Ball

Hello CBSI and welcome back to Covering The Spread!  This week I will be using my crystal ball to look into the future.  Right now my crystal ball is telling me to follow three specific trends.  Which trends? Read on to find out!

The first trend I wanted to talk about are optioned indies doing very well in the market.  Look at recent excitement about things like Tank Girl.  But I think many of us get so excited about the announcement that something has been optioned, and then completely forget about it later.  Case in point:


Sex Criminals 1:

This is a book that I haven’t heard anyone discuss in a long time.  But this was optioned way back in 2015!  That means that we should be seeing the final product pretty soon.  Jimmy Linguini posited that this was delayed because Universal is afraid that something titled Sex Criminals would not be well received in the midst of the #metoo movement.  But I think the opposite is true.  Outrage marketing is a real thing and the title alone will be enough to get people all worked up.

I still remember when the first trailer for Dear White People was released by Netflix it cause a huge stir.  But once it was released no one was angry anymore.  In fact I was unaware they were making a show (although I really enjoyed the movie) and all the complaints made me want to watch it.  The same thing could happen for this show, and if it does I expect prices to go way up.

Average Raw Price 16.99
10 Copies 169.95
Shipping Fees (EST) 100
Grading Fees (EST) 180
Selling Fees 29.40
Total Costs 479.35


9.8 Av Price 9.6 Av Price 9.4 Av Price 9.2  Price
69 42 6 6
2 Copies 3 Copies 4 Copies 1 Copy Total Value
138 126 24 6 294

Talk about a cheap investment.  Right now we would have an upfront investment of $449.95 and we would come away with a loss of $185.35.  Those are obviously not good numbers.  But that’s because graded copies of this book are so cheap!  You can get a 9.8 for under $70.  And yes a graded 9.4 really did sell for $6.  I know it’s not a 9.8 but that’s an insanely good price!

Watch the auctions for this book and you can get some great deals.  Especially if this show does get released soon.


Marvel Team-Up 141:

Can you believe how long it has been since I recommended a Spider-Man book!  Does this count?  Anyway the other trend I’ve been seeing is that all things Venom are hot hot hot right now.  Of the 50 best selling modern graded books right now 13 are Venom related (including this issue).  But for some reason this book is not selling anywhere near as well as ASM 252 or Secret Wars 8.  Of course those two have some iconic covers but is the origin of the black costume more important than the first appearance?

Not to mention this book was not respected in the market for a long time.  I have found so many copies that are completely beat.  I still buy them though.  Another tip for everyone, throw in a “reader copy” with your books when you sell them.  A lot of the time you be able to squeeze an extra $5-$10 out of the sale for something that cost you next to nothing.

Anyway this book is much harder to find than either of the other two books mentioned and I think for any Venom fan or Spider-Man fan this is a must have.  Most people just haven’t realized it yet.

Average Raw Price 75.05
10 Copies 750.54
Shipping Fees (EST) 100
Grading Fees (EST) 180
Selling Fees 220.10
Total Costs 1250.64


9.8 Av Price 9.6 Av Price 9.4 Av Price 9.2  Price
559 169 119 100
2 Copies 3 Copies 4 Copies 1 Copy Total Value
1118 507 476 100 2201

These are some nice numbers.  I estimate an upfront investment of $1030.54 and we come away with profits of $950.36!  That’s a spread of +95.04 and an ROI of 92%!  I don’t think I need to tell you that’s a good idea but the even crazier thing is how big of a swing their is on raw prices.  Surprise surprise the ones that go for more money mention Venom in the title.  Never assume that eBay customers (or customers in person) know the significance of a book.  If you don’t tell them you’re leaving money on the table!


Invincible 1:

The other big trend I have been seeing is TV shows on streaming services causing a big buzz.  Keith Shimabukuro (author of the Variant Heat Check) and I have discussed this at length and I think this is the best spec out there right now.  I don’t know if Hulu will be as big of an influence as Netflix but if Hit Monkey is any indication I would say yes.

Also I don’t know if I have mentioned in this article before but this is the best series of all time.  Feel free to tell me your favorite in the comments below but you’re wrong!

Everyone is always looking for the next Walking Dead well why not something else written by the same person?  This book also had a very small print run when it first came out, and gained popularity over the years.  But it never came near the readership of the Walking Dead so if the show does well there will be a sudden influx of collectors interested in this book.

Average Raw Price 438.22
10 Copies 4382.20
Shipping Fees (EST) 100
Grading Fees (EST) 180
Selling Fees 476.50
Total Costs 5138.70


9.8 Av Price 9.6 Av Price 9.4 Av Price 9.2  Price
911 462 309 321
2 Copies 3 Copies 4 Copies 1 Copy Total Value
1822 1386 1236 321 4765

Well for an upfront investment here I estimate $4662.20 and we would come away with a loss of $373.70.  Not exactly inspiring.  But, again that just means that graded copies are a bargain.  When the announcement was first made about the option you would never see a 9.8 go for less than $1000 and I was surprised to see how low they have dipped.

I recommend everyone watch the auctions for slabbed copies and pick some up while you can afford them.  Even if it’s a 9.6.


Well everyone that’s all I have for you this week.  All kidding aside what’s your favorite series? Are there any trends your crystal ball is telling you to follow? Let me know in the comments down below!

The post Covering the Spread 43: Crystal Ball appeared first on CBSI Comics.

Powered by WPeMatico